Full story here from Zero Hedge. Not like we haven’t harped on this topic before, but I reserve the right to do so until I see some positive changes. It annoys me no end that gold is now “fractional reserve” (i.e. made up out of thin air).
“Paul Mylchreest submits the following exhaustive Thunder Road report (from October 15, 2009), which is a follow-up to the previously posted Redburn Partners report. A detailed analysis on some of the less discussed aspects of the gold market, this is another must read for all who have even an incipient interest in the gold market.
Paul’s proposed investigative alternatives are as follows:
On average there is more than one ownership claim on each gold bar conforming to London Good Delivery (LGD) standard on the “pool” of gold which acts as liquidity for the massive OTC gold trade based in London. Essentially, the market operates on a fractional reserve basis, but if a sufficient number of market participants become concerned about this and there is a stampede to take delivery of physical bullion, there is a risk of market failure. Such a process could be delayed by central banks lending gold to the market, although this would likely be obvious by a spike in gold lease rates, or by a much higher gold price in order to encourage holders to sell bullion. In this scenario, the gold price could SOAR at any time and the gold market, which is subject to little regulation, is basically an accident waiting to happen;
There is FAR more gold bullion held in private hands than is acknowledged by current industry estimates. It is the large amount of additional gold on top of known gold stocks which provides sufficient liquidity to support the high volumes traded through London. The most likely source for this gold dates back to the Japanese conquest of Asia from 1894-1945 when Japan is alleged to have looted the gold and valuables of 12 nations – it is best known as the story of Yamashita’s Gold. If true, my analysis shows that particularly heavy volumes of this gold may have been laundered into the London market during 1986-90 and the mid/late 1990s. In this scenario, the continued evolution of the gold bull market could be more protracted, if supplies of this gold continue to enter the market periodically.